WHERE IT STANDS – AT 9:08 A.M. ET:   Not much change from yesterday.  Indeed, there are some small – repeat small – hints that Trump's surge is slowing down.

The RealClearPolitics average of polls is unchanged, with Clinton up 1.7 points.

Rasmussen has Trump up three, 45-42, breaking a tie that had held for two days.

L.A. Times has Trump up five, a tiny drop from yesterday, statistically insignificant.

However, IBD/TIFF has it tied 44-44.

Washington Post/ABC now shows Clinton ahead, 47-45, after a multi-day dip for Clinton.  The pollster claims the enthusiasm of Clinton voters has now returned.

New York Times/CBS has Clinton up three, 45-42.

CRITICAL:  In the vote that counts, the race for electoral votes, RealClearPolitics estimates Clinton with 273, three more than needed to win, and Trump with 265.  This assumes no toss-ups, with toss-ups assigned according to the best judgment of the pollster. With toss-ups included, it's Clinton 226, Trump 180.

Including today, there are five more days of campaigning.  We don't know what surprises may be in store.  We also don't know the extent of voter fraud.

A week from today we'll be speculating on the new president's Cabinet choices.

November 3, 2016